Posted by
Dr. Brian Melton on Tuesday, May 27, 2008 7:13:13 PM
I have quite a bit of respect of Pat Buchanan. While I certainly don’t agree with everything
he says, he has an important ability to speak hard truths that people don’t
want to hear. His Death of the West, for instance, struck me as a clear call to
common sense (which is perhaps one reason why Washington has generally ignored
it). He regularly points out
inconsistencies and shortcomings of both parties, and doesn’t give a fig about
their opinions of him.
As such, I have no doubt that Mr. Buchanan will not care in
the least about what I’m about to say:
Buchanan’s criticism in his recent opinion article
of Bush’s comparison of negotiating with Iran to appeasing the Nazis is
unfortunately as incorrect as Mr. Buchanan’s own grasp of the history of World
War II. (I can only hope that his
upcoming book on the “unnecessary war” is more accurate.) While accusing Bush of “making a hash of
history,” Buchanan is, in fact himself making something of an omelet.
It isn’t my purpose to respond to Buchanan, point by
point. Nor do I want to. Buchanan’s basic idea that we should use a
combination of diplomacy, international pressure, and justified war is sound.
I will be focusing on three aspects:
His accusation that Bush is “playing the Hitler card,” his estimation of
Hitler, and what this might mean for a comparison to Ahmadinejad.
As I’ve argued elsewhere,
there are inherent dangers in comparing anyone to the Nazis. Most people will brush it off as simply
another way of saying “I think X is a really bad person/thing.” The rest won’t believe you mainly because we’ve
traditionally demonized the Nazis (understandably so) to such an extent that
they no longer seem human. After all, no
mere homo sapien could ever be as
evil as the creatures residing in Germany in the 1930s and 1940s. So, on the practical side of things, Bush (or
more precisely his speechwriters) should have come up with a more effective
comparison.
On the other hand, the association is probably much stronger
in terms of real history than Mr. Buchanan seems to believe, and that has to do
with my second point: Mr. Buchanan’s misunderstanding
of who Hitler was and what he wanted.
Hitler had not wanted war with
Poland. … From March to August 1939, Hitler tried to negotiate Danzig [a port
city primarily of German ethnicity split off from Germany in 1919 to give
Poland access to the sea]. But the Poles, confident in their British war
guarantee, refused. So, Hitler cut his deal with Stalin, and the two invaded
and divided Poland.
Mr. Buchanan’s claims about Hitler’s interest in
negotiations are based on observations of Hitler’s rhetoric and do not demonstrate any real knowledge of Hitler’s
actual intentions. Mr. Buchanan is, in
fact, falling for a Nazi publicity stunt that apparently is still effective
fifty years on. (To remedy this, he
might look at some of the captured Nazi secret documents available from various
sources as far back as William Shirer’s Rise
and Fall of the Third Reich. More
recent excellent sources include Ian Kershaw’s two volume biography of Hitler, Richard Evans’
two volumes on the Third Reich, or Norman Rich’s, Hitler’s War Aims.) Hitler exploited the West’s assumption that
everyone is basically reasonable by adopting a moderate stance publically. In private, as far back as the Anschluss, Hitler had in fact prepared
for and wanted war. By the time the
Danzig question came up, he was positively spoiling for a fight. There was no question of if there would be war with Hitler, but merely when. In fact, he made it
clear to his inner circle and foreign policy team that he never had much
intention of negotiating with the Poles.
Instead, he planned to press them so hard on Danzig that they would not
be able to agree, thereby creating an excuse to go to war. Also, despite what Mr. Buchanan implies,
failure to negotiate over Danzig didn’t push Hitler unwillingly into Stalin’s
open arms. Since Hitler already wanted
war, the alliance with the Soviets merely altered his plans, it didn’t dictate
them.
As for the unrest in Danzig itself, which Mr. Buchanan seems
to think was natural, the Nazis played a pivotal role in stirring it up to
begin with, as they had in the Rhineland, Austria, and the Sudetenland. Hitler wanted to create the impression of
masses of oppressed German people begging for the Nazis to invade and
“liberate” them. This approach worked on
Chamberlain up until Czechoslovakia, and it apparently still works on Mr.
Buchanan.
So it seems that Mr. Buchanan apparently doesn’t understand Hitler’s
mentality (or psychosis, if you prefer).
He essentially expects that Hitler would have acted rationally. I believe that in his article Mr. Buchanan is
misreading Ahmadinejad’s radical Islamic mindset in a similar way. We are, after all, talking about a national
leader who is a confirmed believer in bringing
about the apocalypse, and has said that the “Hidden
Imam” is already active
in Iranian politics. He denies the
Holocaust, threatens/predicts the imminent
doom of an entire nation, and is conveniently charging ahead pell-mell with
his own nuclear program. I somehow doubt
that Mr. Buchanan will find Ahmadinejad’s ultimate demands to be any more “reasonable”
than Hitler’s were.
I fear that in this case Bush may be precisely right. Ahmadinejad will probably treat any real
attempt at two-sided diplomacy as Hitler did:
mainly as something to be exploited.
Real negotiations must by definition begin with the assumption that both
parties are willing to give something up.
Without that granted, one does not “negotiate,” he “dictates.” To the mind of a crusading tyrant, giving
ground is often seen as a sign of weakness.
It encourages further demands and promotes the flippant attitude that
foreign powers are too morally weak to intervene forcefully. There is a very real possibility that
negotiating with Iran, even from what the West perceives as a position of
power, may very well end up undermining the peace rather than encouraging it,
as it did with Hitler.
While I hope that Mr. Buchanan will continue
forcibly voice his usually informed opinions, I hope that this one is very
quickly forgotten.